Friday, 25 December 2015

Value Bets December 26, 2015

Both games in the Italian Serie B ended goalless. We're still on a positive ROI overall, and with no games of interest 24th or 25th of December, I've selected 4 value tips from England on Boxing day.
I wish you all a happy holiday, and that you enjoy all the great football in these coming days! 


Liverpool vs Leicester City, England, Premier League 16:00 CET
Leicester City to win at 3.85

Liverpool were really poor in their 3-0 loss against Watford last weekend. They are up and down in performace, but against Leicter City half measures just wont cut it. Leicter City is still going strong, topping the Premier League and are still undefeated away from home (6-3-0). I guess they still aren't getting the credit they deserve, 3,85 times your bet for them to win is just insane.  Even at conservative 30%-30%-40% it's huge value, and I'm seeing them as around 50% favorites in this game.


Colchester United vs Southend United, England, League 1 16:00 CET
Southend United to win at 2.45


Colchester united have ended 4 of 10 home games in a draw, and Southend United have ended 5 of their 10 away games as a draw. But looking at the most recent games Colchester United are coming from 6 straight losses in the league. At the same time Southend United are undefeated in their last 7 league games. A rather high chance for it to end in a draw, but at 2.45 I find value in betting on Southen United to win.




Dagenham & Redbridge vs Cambridge United, England, League 2 16:00 CET
Cambridge United to win at 2,20

Dagenham & Redbridge are at the bottom of League 2 with 2-7-13. Cambridge United are on the middle after 8-6-8. Cambridge aren't the best team in the league, but they are only 6 points away from a play-off spot. In addition Dagenham & Redbridge are so poor that I find value in Cambridge United to win at 2,20.


Southampton vs Arsenal, England, Premier League 20:45 CET
Arsenal to win at 2.15

Southampton have rally fallen out of form with only a single point gathered from their last 5 league games. On the other hand Arsenal are one of the few consistent teams in the league, and look like contenders for the title. I see arsenal as more than 50% favorites to win this game, and find value in a bet on them to win at 2.15.

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